A major new study has revealed that subtle memory decline begins as early as our late 30s and 40s, decades before traditional cognitive screening tools show any problems. The research, conducted by the University of Cambridge and published in the Journal of Experimental Psychology last year, explored how advanced memory testing could help us better understand and detect brain changes with age. 

In dementia, the quality of our memories declines long before outright forgetting begins. For months, even years, memories grow fuzzier – details fade, events blur together – well before we reach the point of not remembering at all. But what if we could capture and measure this early fuzziness? Could dementia be detected years before it shows up on standard tests, while there’s still time to intervene? 

Measuring memory precision

At the moment, doctors rely on paper-based tools like the MoCA (Montreal Cognitive Assessment) or MMSE (Mini-Mental State Exam) when assessing brain function. These are useful, but blunt. They typically ask a patient to recall a series of objects, awarding points for the number remembered. That tells us if something was remembered, but not how well it was remembered, and that distinction matters. Think of the difference between recalling, “I saw a red car yesterday” versus “I saw a dark red sports car parked outside the bakery on Smith Street yesterday.” One memory is richer, more detailed, more precise, yet traditional tests don’t capture that. They reduce memory to a checklist, missing the nuances of quality. 

In this study of 130 adults aged 18 to 85, researchers from the University of Cambridge applied advanced memory precision testing. Instead of simply scoring whether an answer was right or wrong, they measured the fidelity of each memory, i.e., its sharpness, detail, and accuracy. These precision-based metrics revealed subtle declines in memory quality that appear years before traditional tests would flag a problem.

University of Cambridge Study Results

The study results were striking:

  • Middle-aged adults (36–59) already showed measurable reductions in memory precision, even while performing normally on standard tests.
  • Declines were seen not only in long-term memory but also in perception and short-term memory – highlighting that “fuzzy” recall, not outright forgetting, may be the earliest sign of brain aging.
  • Memory precision metrics proved more sensitive than current gold-standard clinical tasks, making them a powerful tool for early detection of cognitive decline.
  • Importantly, different types of memory precision tracked with specific brain systems: short-term precision related to the prefrontal cortex, while long-term precision reflected hippocampal integrity, the area most commonly associated with Alzheimer’s disease.

In other words, precision memory measures how well you remember, not just whether you remember, opening the door to earlier, more sensitive detection of dementia.

GlobalData Strategic Intelligence

US Tariffs are shifting - will you react or anticipate?

Don’t let policy changes catch you off guard. Stay proactive with real-time data and expert analysis.

By GlobalData

At Zest, we’ve built a digital cognitive assessment, called PREMAZ, that can measure precision memory. The assessment tool was built alongside the key researchers from this study, and using the same continuous precision metrics, but adapted to an app-based, scalable format. This test is now being adopted by clinics and research programmes to make cognitive testing as routine as screening for diabetes and heart disease, and to take a proactive approach.

Why this matters

Alzheimer’s disease and other dementias don’t happen overnight. They develop silently, over decades. By the time memory lapses are obvious enough to register on traditional screening tools, irreversible brain damage has already occurred. Tests for precision memory mark a turning point in cognitive medicine – a shift from reactive treatment to proactive prevention and optimisation.

A co-author of this study, Professor Jon Simons, who leads the Cambridge Memory Lab and serves as the project’s scientific director, explains, “By moving this technology from the lab into people’s hands, we’re creating new opportunities for earlier detection, better interventions, and ultimately better outcomes. The sensitivity of our memory precision task means we can detect subtle memory changes at an early stage when they can still be remedied by cognitive and lifestyle interventions that may protect against further age-related decline.”

Detecting decline in midlife is critical if interventions are to be effective. According to the Lancet Commission, addressing key lifestyle and health factors – such as better sleep, exercise, nutrition, and social connection – could prevent or delay up to 40% of dementia cases globally. 

If individuals in their 40s and 50s discover they are showing early signs of cognitive decline through precision memory testing, they have time to adopt preventative strategies, which could nearly cut the future risk of dementia or Alzheimer’s Disease in half.

The bottom line

This study shows that one of the earliest signs of cognitive aging is a subtle loss of memory precision – memories become less detailed and less accurate even when they are still accessible. Using novel technologies, we have the opportunity to detect these changes in midlife, long before traditional tests pick them up. Precision-based measures like PREMAZ offer a more sensitive way to study how ageing affects the brain, with potential value for early detection in clinical, research, and trial settings.